California’s Housing Bubble in Case-Shiller Data

The irrational exuberance experienced by California housing market participants stands in sharp contrast to the relatively stable valuations seen in non-bubble markets. While the low tier of the Atlanta market has declined dramatically in the last two years, the Atlanta market did not experience the bubble-based valuation seen in San Diego, Los Angeles/Orange County, and San Francisco.

Case-Shiller Low Tier Indexes, California and Atlanta Markets

On a relative basis, the high end of the market did not rise as much — and has not fallen as much after the bubble collapsed. Nonetheless, the distinction between California markets and the non-bubble control (Atlanta) is clear.

Case-Shiller High Tier Indexes, California and Atlanta Markets

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